Tag Archives: Watchlist

“Hold the line!!” – SPY

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It was November 30, 2011, when the world's Central Banks united to ease strains on the global financial system. This move marked the end of a very turbulent summer and fall, where markets fell across the globe on fears of a Eurozone debt crisis.

Seven months later, we find ourselves in a similar situation. You know how the saying goes, "Those who don't learn from history, are doomed to repeat it". Will it be the bears who were taken to the woodshed betting on governments to sit on their hands? Or will it be the bulls, betting on more intervention?

Where will folks put their money with treasuries at all-time lows and negative Bond yields. Silver? Gold? The Dollar? It's almost like governments are forcing folks into equities. Time will tell, but I will continue to be a short term bull into we close under $127.90 on the SPY.

 

 

AutoZone, Inc (AZO) – Upside Coming

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We have written about AutoZone, Inc.(AZO) many times over the past year. This is a stock that has moved consistently to the upside since hitting $84 in late 2008. The stock price has been buoyed by great earnings and a strong buyback program. Last week Advanced Auto Parts (AAP) gave some weak guidance which shook the auto parts sector. AutoZone, Inc (AZO) took it on the chin falling nearly 6% last thursday to close at $365.58. Folks were fearing a slowdown and worried there would be some effects on AutoZone, inc (AZO) earnings.  They were wrong as AutoZone, Inc (AZO) reported earnings this morning that missed slightly on the revenue side, but beat everywhere else. Traders were skittish and took the stock down 4% pre-market only to watch it trade into the green late this morning.

We think it is inevitable for the stock to trade over $400 in the short term, and purchased $410 June 16th calls @ .41 average.

 

5-22 Watchlist

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May 22nd Watchlist

What a great day yesterday, as the market shook off an opening drop and ramped up the rest of the day. Moves like that are the kind that options traders dream for… One directional! We haven’t had that in a few weeks, and most of the calls purchased Friday or at the open, were up big. Of course AAPL was the big winner as the 565 strikes were the most profitable trade. Lets see if AAPL continues its course, but remember to always lock some in on the way up and never look back!

 

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Ross Stores, Inc (ROST)

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It seems every week there is a stock in the retail sector moving 15%+. Fossil (FOSL), Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK), and JC Penney (JCP) all saw their shares ripped to shreds on disappointing earnings and lower outlooks. Is the economy really starting to show signs of cracking? Maybe analysts had the bar set to high? I am sure its some of those reasons and more, but there are companies that should continue to buck the trend. Ross Stores, Inc (ROST) looks like one of them. Yes, the stock is up nearly 100% yoy, but who cares. Follow the momentum.

The market speaks, sometimes you just need to listen. Take a look at the open interest on the calls and puts expiring in 2 days:

Open Interest on ROST May calls and puts : CALLS : 33,500 PUTS: 13,847

We are betting on the upside tomorrow as Ross Stores, Inc (ROST) reports earnings before the opening.

 

Disclosure: We currently hold $65 May calls.

 

SINA Corporation (SINA)

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Sina Corporation (SINA) has been an Optionmillionaires favorite over the past few months.There is nothing that an option trader likes more than a volatile stock, and SINA Corporation (SINA) sure fits the bill. SINA Corporation (SINA) reported earnings after hours, and the stock rose nearly 7%. Folks were expecting a loss, which they got, but revenue was above expectations. With all the bad press as of late, it was almost a relief that SINA Corporation (SINA) expects to still generate revenues with the China censorship crackdown.

It's one of the reasons we think there will be some serious upside upgrades tomorrow. SINA Corporation (SINA) pulled in just over $100 mil in revenues for the past quarter, yet has over 300 million users of its twitter like service. If they are able to just pull in $.50-$1 per user, they will experience some SERIOUS growth. Smart "Growth Companies" sacrifice short term profits, for long term growth. Looks like Sina CEO Charles Chao is continuing to do that, which is great news in our opinion:

Sina CEO Charles Chao said: "China's macroeconomic weakness in the first quarter the Company's brand advertising business growth moderate. We expect the macroeconomic aspects of the resistance will continue until the second quarter, however, we have begun to test the water micro- Bo brand advertising business. this advertising product recommendation engine driven by the map-based social interest, is expected to be in the second half of the year for our brand advertising business real impact. the current the microblogging advertisers preliminary feedback is encouraging, we believe that to continue major investment is necessary for social media and related projects. "

 

Of course there are the folks looking at the news release tonight seeing this headline:

Sina Corp could see further losses due to Weibo: CEO

The market is forward looking, and think this view is very short sighted. With the penetration they have, in a market with few competitors, I think SINA has much more upside then folks are giving her.I guess we will see tomorrow. Here is what we were saying on our watchlist this morning and monday:

SINA – 60 calls before the close for me, think earnings will not be too good, but the outlook and china restrictions will be the key.

SINA – reports this week as well, with RENN. Hard to figure, but I still like SINA. Not sure of the strikes yet and may wait till Tuesday AM.

 

Happy Trading!!

 

Disclosure: we hold $57.50 and $60 MAY calls