Tag Archives: aapl

May 2nd Outlook – Gameplan – CAT SPY……..

 

 

On Sunday night I posted my outlook for the week, most notably:

'We have the SPY holding above key levels, and look at some of the indicators. They are just starting to turn. We could easiliy see a test of the highs or a break in the next few weeks. The bulls are not going away. My target this week is SPY $141.50. "

Today SPY hit $141.66 and then faded, .16 over my target. The fade turned into a sell-off late and SPY closed in the mid $140's. I'm not concerned at this juncture about another pull back. We are well above the 50dma, the RSI has plenty of room to go higher. A beak of $140 would draw my attention, further weakness could be signalling a lower high in the SPY. But we did hit a higher high on the DOW today. The bearish case from here is mixed at best. I have been playing it light lately, cutting my losses, locking in my profits.

You could see that with my NFLX trade I posted in chat today. I bought 10 of the $85 calls for $.53. I sold them 45 minutes later for $.78.

What I will be watching and possibly trading tomorrow.

Click Here to Read On (SUBSCRIBERS ONLY)

AAPL Don’t Take A Bite Just Yet

 

If you still believe in charts after more than 3 years of centrally planned market manipulation, than I think you need to stay away from AAPL for another few trading session.   It's not a  perfect setup but AAPL has formed a head and shoulders over the last few weeks which means the risk for more downside is great.

If you want to play this move, lets hope for a bounce tomorrow early.  Then step in and buy the puts that expire tomorrow as AAPL options premium will be minimum.  You could move out to next weeks puts  but in my view they will be too expensive.  I don't think AAPL will fall below $550, if it does than I will be looking for $500 puts.  So yes you can risk next weeks $525 puts, if we break $550 those should be a nice profit.  I think the play is for a bounce tomorrow early and then a fall the rest of the day into the close, meaning buy weekly put well after the open.