More Bull Traps

Sadly for the bulls, yesterdays 1.2% gain was just another bull trap.  Those not wise enough to sell earlier this year when this rally was called a bull trap, are now trapped with even more gains in 2019.  Just terrible.

Bull traps?  The evidence was apparently in months ago.  Carefully crafted charts with big red down arrows from writers who have been bearish on this market since 2009.  How could we all been so blind to miss the pending collapse of the equity markets?

It is unfortunate......  Ironically, as I step my sarcasm up another notch, and as I have stated previously,  the ones calling the rally a bull trap months ago are the ones with the most experience getting trapped as a bear.

In late 2016 with the $SPY at $200, those calling this recent rally a bull trap, were saying the market gains were fake, built on nothing but hot air.   Yes... hot air and little else....

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-charts-say-hot-air-is-pushing-these-markets-higher-and-little-else-2016-11-23

 

What Happens When This Myth Bull Market Gets Real?

 

And let's not be blind to the upside.  The market will pull back again.  The Bull trap folk will be at it again.  Perhaps with a VIX rocket article, or an article saying the market is moving higher on something other than hot air.... their carefully crafted charts will just slide to other price points to validate their bearish narrative.

They will continue to blame the Central Banks for all the ills of the world.  Coffee cold?  Damn you Powell!  Steak overcooked?  Yellen you are a terrible cook!  Car won't start?  Bernanke , you balding charlatan,  are an awful mechanic!  Market keeps heading higher?  I'm going to write another bearish post perhaps this one will stick!

What do I say?

A Bull trap a day keeps the downside away.

The irony, and I have been saying this for many years as well, is that the reason those uber bears give for why this market will fall, is exactly why it will continue to defy their downside calls.

The Waiting is the Hardest Part

 

The $SPY broke over resistance, came back to test it... it held, and is now heading higher.  Those record highs are getting closer.

The Nasdaq is just a few more bull traps away from fresh record highs.

Growth is weak.  Debt levels have never been higher.  Trade wars, tariffs.  Brexit.  Scandals.  Political drama.  China growth concerns.  Recession.  Yield Curve Inversion..... Need I go on?  Plenty of excuses to sell.

And we know how that works out.  See you in the chat room!

As Long As These Pullbacks Have A Name Stocks Head Higher

Friday Focus: Running Out of Excuses to Sell

 

 

Known to most as Uranium Pinto Beans, Jason has more than 15 years under his belt of trading stocks, options and currencies. His expertise primarily lies in chart analysis, and he has a strong eye for undervalued stock. Because he’s got the ability to identify great risk/reward trades he usually enjoys taking the path less traveled and reaping the benefits from the adventure.

He is a co-founder of Option Millionaires, and he is best known for his weekly webinars with Scott, as well as his high level training webinars and charts found in the forums.

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2 thoughts on “More Bull Traps”

  1. Great blog post. You know what “they” say; bulls climb a wall of worry. I have been to bearish and have sat out most of the gain since January… very frustrating.

  2. thanks! it can be tough saying long and there remains no shortage of excuses to sell or stay out of the market. I think many fear another 2008 or 2000 or even 1929. It doesnt help when widely followed financials sites almost daily feed on the fear and post fear mongering content like this –_>>> https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-market-crash-of-2016-the-countdown-begins-2015-02-25?page=1

    or when Jim Cramer tells everyone in 2008 to sell everything and hide it under a mattress for at least 5 years. That has to be one of the worst things any long term investor could have done. Those 2008/2009 lows were the absolute worst time to be selling.

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