Tuesday Morning Reads

Tuesday Morning Reads




Morning Charts:


Option Millionaires@OMillionaires

Some implied moves for nxt wk: 9.2% 6.1% 4.2%⁰ 12.2%⁰ 12.6% ⁰ 16.6%⁰ 18.7%⁰ 6.3%⁰ 12.9%⁰ 10.1%⁰ 13.6%⁰ 8.3%⁰ 16.1%⁰ 8.0%⁰ 7.2%⁰ 8.6%⁰ 8.4%⁰ 8.5%⁰ 8.6% https://twitter.com/eWhispers/status/1157656088067616768 

Earnings Whispers@eWhispers


View image on Twitter



Wall Street is pointing to positive territory for the session ahead, with Dow and S&P 500 futures up 0.8% and the Nasdaq ahead by 1%, following the worst trading day of 2019. Traders may have been buoyed after the People's Bank of China took steps to stabilize the yuan, setting the currency's reference point higher than the key 7 per dollar level. Late Monday, the U.S. Treasury Department labeled China a currency manipulator for the first time since 1994, opening the door to new sanctions and ratcheting up already high tensions.
Go deeper: 'Round 3 Of The Tariff Wars' by Calafia Beach Pundit.

Suspension of agriculture purchases

The intensifying U.S.-China trade war still pushed the Shanghai Composite down 1.6% overnight as Beijing confirmed its suspension of U.S. agricultural product purchases in response to new American tariffs. China, one of the largest buyers of U.S. agriculture, also did "not rule out" duties on newly purchased agricultural goods after August 3. China's official Communist Party newspaper further said that the U.S. was "deliberately destroying international order" and holding its own citizens to ransom.
Go deeper: Global investing analysis of China vs. peers.

Fed Op-Ed

The four living former Federal Reserve chairs have banded together to emphasize the importance of a Fed chair who's "permitted to act independently and in the best interests of the economy, free of short-term political pressures and, in particular, without the threat of removal or demotion," in an Op-Ed piece in the WSJ. Even the perception that monetary-policy decisions are politically motivated "can undermine public confidence that the central bank is acting in the best interest of the economy," wrote Paul Volcker, Alan Greenspan, Ben Bernanke and Janet Yellen. "This can lead to worse economic performance in the long run, including higher inflation and slower growth."

Shipping protection through Hormuz

Britain is joining the U.S. in forming an international mission to protect shipping through the Strait of Hormuz from Iranian threats after struggling to build a European maritime coalition to safeguard ships in the region. The U.K. said details of the cooperation had yet to be completed, but that it had offered to lead one of the mission's maritime task groups. A third of the world's seaborne oil is transported through the strait.

Embargo against Venezuela

Crude traded above $55/bbl after the Trump administration imposed a total economic embargo against the government of Venezuela, freezing all its U.S. assets and sharply escalating a campaign aimed at removing President Maduro from power. The executive order goes well beyond the sanctions imposed in recent months against Venezuela's state-run oil company PDVSA and the country's financial sector, as well as measures against dozens of Venezuelan officials and entities.
Go deeper: Latest energy news.

Barneys New York bankruptcy

Barneys, a nearly century-old icon of New York retail, has filed for bankruptcy protection and secured a $75M financing package to support a sale process that will see the company close 15 of its 22 locations. It's just one of many department stores that's struggling as shoppers buy online or from brands directly. Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN) is trading nearly $20 a share lower than a $50/share buyout offer it rejected two years ago as too low, Saks-owner Hudson's Bay (OTCPK:HBAYF) is considering going private after its stock fell nearly 50% in the year through June, while shares of Macy's (NYSE:M) are down 34% YTD.
Go deeper: Compare retail names side by side.

Bezos unloads Amazon stock

Jeff Bezos sold roughly $2.8B worth of Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) shares in the past week, prior to losing $3.4B on Monday as shares of his online retailer tumbled 3.2%. Bezos hasn't provided an explanation as to why he's accelerating stock sales, but he's currently selling about $1B in Amazon stock each year to fund his space exploration company, Blue Origin, and is also deploying capital for the "Day One Fund," which was announced in 2018 to help homeless families and create preschools.

Tencent in talks for Universal Music

Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) is negotiating a €3B deal with Vivendi (OTCPK:VIVHY) to buy 10% of Universal Music, one of the world's largest music labels. Tencent is known primarily for its gaming and social network business - it owns China's powerful WeChat platform, which has 900M daily users. But the company also has its own music unit, Tencent Music Entertainment (NYSE:TME), which raised more than $1B in an IPO late last year that valued the division overall at $21.3B.
Go deeper: Sell Side has Tencent Music at Outperform.

Videogame makers down, gun stocks up

Videogame maker shares came under heavy selling pressure on Monday after President Trump referenced the industry after two mass shootings that shook the country over the weekend. "We must stop the glorification of violence in our society," he said during a press briefing. "This includes the gruesome and grisly video games that are now commonplace." Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVItumbled 6% on the news, while Electronic Arts (NASDAQ:EAdropped 4.6% and Take-Two (NASDAQ:TTWOslipped over 5%. Firearm stocks saw gains on gun control fears, however, with American Outdoor Brands (NASDAQ:AOBC) and Vista Outdoor (NYSE:VSTOrising over 2%.

What else is happening...

Walmart (NYSE:WMT) sticks with gun sales after El Paso massacre.

500 Boeing (NYSE:BA) 737 MAX test flights with new software update.

New Media to buy USA Today-owner Gannett (NYSE:GCI) in $1.4B deal.

Yield curve signals biggest recession warning since 2007.

Beyond Meat (NASDAQ:BYNDcloses secondary stock offering.

Victoria's Secret owner L Brands (NYSE:LB) is losing its marketing chief.

Apple (NASDAQ:AAPLprobed over pressure on parts makers - Mainichi.

Monday's Key Earnings
Realty Income (NYSE:O+0.2% AH reaffirming outlook for 2019.
Marriott (NASDAQ:MAR-2.8% AH on $126M data breach charge.
Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK+2.2% AH raising revenue forecast.
Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN+5.1% updating on next-gen protein initiatives.

Today's Markets 
In Asia, Japan -0.7%. Hong Kong -0.7%. China -1.6%. India +0.8%.
In Europe, at midday, London +0.1%. Paris +0.9%. Frankfurt +0.6%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.8%. S&P +0.8%. Nasdaq +1%. Crude +0.6% to $55.01. Gold flat at $1476.30. Bitcoin +4.6% to $12246.
Ten-year Treasury Yield +1 bps to 1.75%

Today's Economic Calendar
8:55 Redbook Chain Store Sales
10:00 Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey
1:00 PM Results of $38B, 3-Year Note Auction
1:05 PM Fed's Bullard: U.S. Monetary and Economic Policy

Known to most as Uranium Pinto Beans, Jason has more than 15 years under his belt of trading stocks, options and currencies. His expertise primarily lies in chart analysis, and he has a strong eye for undervalued stock. Because he’s got the ability to identify great risk/reward trades he usually enjoys taking the path less traveled and reaping the benefits from the adventure.

He is a co-founder of Option Millionaires, and he is best known for his weekly webinars with Scott, as well as his high level training webinars and charts found in the forums.

More Posts by UPB: View All | Private Twitter Feed: Access Now! (For Diamond Members)