Tag Archives: nflx

10-19 Watchlist

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What an exciting day for once yesterday, as we had some nice intra-day moves on stocks like $GOOG, $PCLN, and $LNKD.  Being in ahead of moves like we had on GOOG during the market hours can equal huge returns. There were some folks in the $700 puts that went from $3 to $30 in 4 minutes. Why we trade options! GOOGs early earnings report caused a sell-off in other tech names like PCLN and LNKD. I think those will be nice movers next week, so definitely need to keep an eye on those. WYNN started its move to $120, the faded with the rest of the market, i still have hope on the $120C. SODA had some expansion news that sent the stock up to 40.60, but then that faded under $39. CAT has made a killer move this week from the lows, and UPB has been all over it (http://stocktwits.com/message/9997640) . HRS is another stock brought to us by BullBear based on this news :  (HRS)Harris awarded Department of Navy contract worth up to $397M And if anyone can confirm this as a new release https://www.fbo.gov/index?s=opportunity&mode=form&id=c4840567ca9fadfea10615b6e4455032&tab=core&_cview=1 . The NOV 50 Calls were the play at .45/.50/.55 .

Today brings option expiration for OCT calls, so should be a fun day. Typically today is one of the most Manipulated days of the year as GOOG tends to PIN exactly to a price every friday after earnings, which is always at an even number like 690 or 700. What I am watching or playing today:

 

Stock Call/Put Strike Expiration Closing Price Entry Price
ISRG Call $550 Oct 0.30 0.30
ISRG Call $555 Oct 0.15 0.15
CALL Call 22.50 Oct 0.30 0.30
CALL Call $25 Oct 0.10 0.10
NFLX Call $70 Oct 0.14 0.10

 

CALL reported nice earnings so looking for a squeeze. ISRG upgraded by BAC to $620 so expect another 3-5% move today. $NFLX chart looks ready to break $70 again.

Will have more in chat and via twitter. Lets have a great day! I will not be in chat until about 10am this morning.

- JImmybob

10-10 Watchlist

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We had AA and YUM earnings last night, with both beating estimates and YUM raising it's outlook. AA did reduce it's aluminum forecast and blamed it on a slowing China economy. COST reported this morning and is up nicely pre-market on a beat. We also have Whole Sale inventories and the Beige Book today as possible market catalysts. Right now the futures have been bouncing between green and red, so we shall see how this plays out today.

Was a rough day for me with SINA and SODA yesterday but I am still holding out hope on the $65 calls and holding $40 calls on SODA.

I do think BIDU is going to continue to drop today i wrote this yesterday : https://www.optionmillionaires.com/2012/baidu-bidu-wall-street-darling-no-more/ Have the 100/95 weekly puts and the OCT 20 90 puts.

YUM and COST maybe nice plays for the opening bell ramp up. YUM 72.50 calls and COST 105 maybe nice quick lottos on a gamble they break to the upside after the open, which i think they both will.

LNKD had tight bollies and expected a breakout... well it did but to the downside. Doesn't mean it won't bounce and I will be waiting for a possible bounce. $115/$120 calls maybe a nice play.

Still like BLK here and many folks are starting to get on the bandwagon. Maybe another day or two before it nears $200 so $195/200 calls maybe a nice play.

 

Others on watch: NFLX, PCLN, TZOO, WYNN, ISRG, MLNX

Lets have a great day!

Jimmybob

10-9 Watchlist

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Waking up to riots on Greece and flat futures, all though they are now green. Not too many market catalysts today, but we do have the official earnings season kick-off with Alcoa reporting after the bell. We also have YUM brands. The IMF lowered the growth forecast for the World Economy and it took a toll on the asian market over night with Japan down near 1%. The China market opened after a week long holiday and opened up 2%.

Again, I am still under the premise that we melt higher these next few weeks. Stocks i am watching:

BLK - still big on this stock and think it sees $200 short term. May add some 200s to my warchest today. CITI upgrade yesterday to $220 and almost seemed like they quoted my blog piece.

SODA - Ready for another 5%+ move here and over $40 in short order. Good comments out from JPM yesterday : SodaStream shares not pricing in much for U.S. business, says JPMorgan -  $40 calls look to be the play here and may ad 42.50s if i see it get some volume.

NFLX - getting hammered here PM and a reason why you need to take some profits if your up big. Will lose quite a bit on my 72.50 calls at open. Wont look to play it, but I think big money keeps this up in the 70s today. Who knows.

YUM - is one I am looking at to play on earnings today with the $70 calls @ .42. Will post in chat if i grab some but looks like nice risk v reward IMHO

BIDU - Big downgrade and PT drop today. Not going to play but I think it may start getting some mojo to the downside and its possible it heads under $100. If I see volume under $108 i will go for some 100/95 puts

Those are the ones I will be watching, here is more on the list: PCLN, MLNX, AMZN, LNKD, WYNN

Lets have a GREAT DAY!!

- Jimmy

10-5-2012

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The end of the week is here, and what a great week it was to start off October! Of course today was the much anticipated unemployment number and boy it didn't disappoint. Seems to me like folks got nervous about the debate and their hand was forced as the unemployment number magically dropped .3% to 7.8%, under the 8% mark just in time for the election. What a crock of... well you know what I am going to say. Obviously I am happy with the result because I am still bullish and hold calls. Watch for the Gap and Trap today as most stocks will get a nice boost out of the gate, and premiums will erode throughout the day.

Some quick things to note: 1. I will be gone by about 2pm today, have somewhere to go.  2. UPB week ahead class will be 10:30pm on Monday because of the holiday. Also Alcoa officially kicks off earnings season on Tuesday, so should be a great class to watch.

Now onto the watchlist:

BLK - I still love this stock to start outperforming. Read my thoughts here : https://www.optionmillionaires.com/2012/blackrock-blk-the-chase-for-performance/   I have the 190/195 calls and will hold till next week at least. Earnings are on OCT 17th, and dont plan to hold all the calls until then, but you never know. Expect the stock to be $191-$196 in short order.

LNKD - Tight bollie breakout is going to happen very soon, if not today. I am positioned with $135 OCT 20th calls and will add more sometime today. Could be a nice flip on the 125s today if your crazy like me

Others to watch for weekly option 'Gambling" : PCLN 645/650s, GOOG 780s maybe/  BIDU 115s/  AAPL 670s

Lets have a great day!

 

- Jimmybob

10-4 Watchlist

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What another great day folks, as NFLX and FDO provided some huge returns! LNKD also provided a nice flip opportunity on the 125 calls, and VRNG brought some end of day aciton. ADP numbers out this morning a little worse then expected but not too much, so the futures are holding their gains. Draghi and the ECB is currently having a press conference, nothing is really expected that will be market moving, but you never know. Although the market seems a little squeamish at times this week(or maybe thats me) the SPY chart looks very stable and trending up. I still think $SPY $150 is in reach short term, and will play it that way until something changes my mind.

What I am watching today:

BLK - I am very sorry for not putting this on the watchlist yesterday. Company reports earnings on Oct 17th, and the OCT 20  calls were showing zero premium, meaning they were/are CHEAP relative to where the stock is and the fact that they are a company that has beat EPS 7 Qs in a row yet the stock is down for the year while the market is up 15%. I like the 190/195 calls. Already added both yesterday and will load 195 calls again today.

LNKD - Chart showing tight bollies, last time we had that on the chart stock ran from 107-122. Not saying it runs like that, but think she breaks out hard next two days. $125 calls were the play yesterday and I am still holding all mine. Better play if not in maybe grabbing the 130/135 calls for next week for a flip/

NFLX - folks keep asking if i think it goes higher, and i say yes! But we know how fickle NFLX can be. I locked in my 57.50s for way too cheap (3.25 from .43) and still hold 62.50s which i may sell today. If NFLX shows continued unbiased buying I will look to get some more calls , maybe 65s.

MLNX - stock i LOVE and have been big on last 2 weeks. Bought the 140 calls @ .50 ast week. I think MLNX heads to 125+ short term and will look to get 145/150 calls today/

 

That is all for now, as always keep an eye on chat and twitter. I will also be writing about Blackrock today on the blog... not that there will be any reaction on the stock, but if folks by calls it may cause market makers to play some games with the prices.

Lets have a GREEN DAY!

 

- Jimmybob