For Silver Members and Above

To view this post you must be a Silver Level Member or above.

11-14-2013 Watchlist

 

Hope everyone had a great weekend. We had some issues getting the week ahead together as I was supposed to handle it Sunday and had problems. Will try putting something together possibly Tuesday night. I do apologize for any troubles. I will also not be in the chatroom for the open today, Monday January 14th but will be back by 11am or so.

 

This week starts a major uptick in earnings with some big banks reporting mid-week. I will not be playing any of them but just keep them on watch as it may influence the market during the end of the week.

 

Reports out about AAPL cutting orders for components has the stock down nearly 3.7% pre-market near $500 : http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323596204578240440691304344.html?ru=MKTW&mod=MKTW

 

Wont be playing it but would figure big money would be in the loop on something like that weeks before. Can’t see how the WSJ is breaking this as new news.

 

This is the type of article that scares me in the coming weeks and months: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887323596204578240440691304344.html?ru=MKTW&mod=MKTW

 

I would bet the next black swan event will be something along the lines of a combination of the high-frequency trading programs and a margin call of epic proportions. Time will tell but putting that article in the archives for future reference.

 

I have spoken quite a bit about the China ADR’s and how my sentiment started to  turn in the fall and I became bearish. Well looks like i continue to be wrong here as BIDU, SINA and others continue to rip higher. BIDU is partnering with a company to create browsers in africa: http://allthingsd.com/20130114/baidu-builds-a-mobile-browser-for-emerging-markets-and-gets-orange-to-pre-install-it/

 

Should bode well for the stock today and may help pull the other ADR’s higher like SINA.

 

Here are some of the Analyst changes today:

 

ISRG)

Intuitive Surgical upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Lazard Capital

Lazard Capital upgraded Intuitive Surgical with a $600 price target citing the recent pullback in shares and the company's strong procedure growth.

 

Verizon downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS

UBS downgraded Verizon to reflect lower profitability due to higher subsidy's and indirect channel costs in wireless and increased costs in wireline. Price target lowered to $44 from $48

 

Abercrombie & Fitch named a Best idea for 2013 at Janney Capital

Janney Capital expects Abercrombie to benefit from positive inventory and an inflection in GMROI, resulting in improved margin performance. Shares are Buy rated.

 

I will look to add to my SINA position possibly as I think the stock continues to trend higher. Will look for 57.5s first and then the 60s if no fill at my prices.

 

ISRG had a nice upgrade today and think it will try to get back to the levels before that Citron report that sent the shares reeling. Will try for 535s and maybe 540s if no fill. The spreads are pretty wide on the options so will require patience.

 

Again folks I will not be in the chatroom until about 11am or so, apologize for any trouble and lets start the week off in style.

 

- JImmybob

1-11-13 Watchlist

 

We start today with the market closing at 5 year highs yesterday. I think I have repeated this about 20 times in the last few months, but $150 on the SPY looks to be a magnet now. Will get volatile there and would expect that to happen in the next 2-3 weeks...

 

WFC had the earnings of note today to kick off the banks, which have quite a few reporting next week. WFC beat on rev and eps and is fading here pre-market.

 

Quite a few Upgrade/downgrades today. Citigroup started SODA coverage with a buy and $60tgt. Still holding calls but will not add anymore yet.  I do have SINA calls and will watch to see if the crazy china adr rally continues.

 

Here are the changes:

 

(DNDN)

Dendreon upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Bernstein

Bernstein upgraded Dendreon based on favorable urologists feedback that indicates increasing Provenge use and reduced expectations. Price target raised to $10 from $7.

 

(JCP)

J.C. Penney downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS

UBS downgraded J.C. Penney due to a deteriorating earnings outlook, fundamental pressures, and significant changed needed in its turnaround strategy. Price target lowered to $13 from $21

 

 

(SODA)

SodaStream initiated with a Buy at Citigroup

Citigroup expects SodaStream will be one of the fastest growth stories in the Beverages group over the next few years given new distribution wins and higher household penetration rates. The firm started shares with a Buy rating and $60 price target.

 

 

Two Beer companies were upgraded today, may help SAM:

 

(BUD)

AB InBev recent weakness a buying opportunity, says Citigroup

Citigroup recommends using the recent weakness in shares of AB InBev as a buying opportunity. Citi believes concerns over the Department of Justice review of the Modelo deal are overdone as it expects the deal will go through.

 

(TAP)

Molson Coors initiated with a Buy at Nomura

Target $54.

 

Last friday we got lucky with GOOG, will watch LNKD, NFLX, and PCLN for lottos today.

 

 

Stock Ticker Call/Put Strike Expiration
LNKD CALL $120.00 weekly
PCLN CALL $660.00 weekly
NFLX CALL $100.00 weekly

 

 

If you missed the class last night it is in the forums: https://www.optionmillionaires.com/forum/showthread.php/222-Selling-Option-Premium-with-LeeMalone?p=411#post411

 

Also the week ahead will be saturday night and will be saved in the forum as well.

 

Lets have a great day and have a great weekend folks!

 

- Jimmybob