Tuesday Morning Market Prepper

Tuesday Morning Market Prepper








Republican leaders have given up on their effort to replace Obamacare - for now - after the defections of two more GOP senators left the party short of votes needed to pass the American Health Care Act. "Republicans should just REPEAL failing Obamacare now & work on a new Healthcare Plan that will start from a clean slate. Dems will join in!" President Trump wrote on Twitter. The news has knocked down the dollar, with doubts over the broader reform agenda.


A blueprint for a new NAFTA has been released by the Office of the United States Trade Representative. It envisions an agreement that "reduces the trade deficit" with Canada and Mexico, and aims to preserve "Buy America" provisions. The road map also backs an unspecified mechanism to prevent currency manipulation and eliminates unfair subsidies and market-distorting practices.

Greek bonds have rallied to post-crisis highs this week as the country eyes a return to the debt markets for the first time in three years. It's expected to sell a five-year bond this week or next. Athens successfully received a €7.7B tranche of rescue cash from its creditors earlier this month, ensuring it will avoid defaulting on its lenders in July.

Nicolas Maduro is coming under growing pressure as Venezuela's opposition announced plans for a parallel government and President Trump warned of sanctions if he moves ahead with plans to rewrite the constitution. "It's time for the zero hour," said opposition leader Freddy Guevara, calling for a 24-hour strike on Thursday and the naming of new Supreme Court judges.

Iran is complying with its nuclear agreement with world powers, according to the Trump administration, but it warned that Tehran was "unquestionably in default of the spirit of the JCPOA." Despite the certification, additional sanctions will be leveled today against Iran's ballistic missile program and other behavior the White House considers destabilizing.

It looks like the Qatar crisis could drag out for a while. "The situation we want to move to is a neighbor that we can trust, a neighbor that is transparent, that we can do business with," said Anwar Gargash, UAE Minister of State for Foreign Affairs. "This is not a crisis where we are looking for a quick fix... We need a solution that will stick."

Ecuador has dealt a blow to OPEC unity by announcing it will start raising crude production this month. The country won't be able to meet its commitment to lower output by 26,000 barrels a day to 522,000, arguing that it needs the money. Its exit is largely immaterial when considering the size of the global oil market, but it could create a dangerous precedent.


Netflix shares soared more than 10% AH after the company smashed subscriber targets and said it was spending $6B a year on content. It added 5.2M new customers during the second quarter, with a significant proportion coming from non-U.S. markets. At the end of June, Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) for the first time also recorded more subs abroad than in the United States - 52.03M vs. 51.92M.

Rearden LLC is going after Disney's (NYSE:DIS) use of a facial-capture technology, potentially threatening the company's ability to profit from the top-grossing movie of 2017. The lawsuit alleges copyright, patent and trademark infringement in the March blockbuster Beauty and the Beast, as well as 2014's Guardians of the Galaxy and 2015's Avengers: Age of Ultron.

European earnings roundup: Ericsson (NASDAQ:ERIC-11% premarket after posting a bigger than expected loss in the second quarter, while sentiment also soured after the telecom equipment maker slashed its outlook for 2017. Meanwhile, Novartis (NYSE:NVS) beat expectations in Q2, amid improvements in its eyecare unit Alcon, as the firm said the GOP healthcare bill collapse will not affect its business. NVS +2.7% premarket.

General Motors has extended a shutdown at the Michigan factory that builds the new Chevrolet Bolt electric car as part of a broader effort to get control of bulging inventories of unsold vehicles in the U.S. It hit a 10-year high in June at 105 days supply. The Bolt (NYSE:GM) was the first American electric car to offer more than 200 miles of driving range per charge at a starting price of around $35,000.

Headlines from Tesla... The automaker has added two independent directors to its board: Twenty-First Century Fox's (FOXFOXA) James Rupert Murdoch and and Johnson Publishing's Linda Johnson Rice. It comes after Elon Musk called Tesla's (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock price "high based on past and present, but low if you believe in Tesla's future," and another Autopilot drama following a crash in Minnesota.

Toshiba shares jumped almost 20% in Tokyo overnight as investors returned from a public holiday on Monday. The rally comes after a California court postponed a hearing on Western Digital's (NYSE:WDC) attempt to block Toshiba's (OTCPK:TOSYY) memory chip business sale. Another boost? David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital just revealed a stake in the struggling conglomerate.

Alibaba is following up on Amazon's (NASDAQ:AMZN) entry into the grocery scene with news of its own: three new Hema supermarkets in Beijing and Shanghai. The stores blend online and offline shopping: Besides various tech features, like smartphone purchases and Alipay (NYSE:BABA) payments, the outlets double as fulfillment hubs, which can deliver goods within 30 minutes.

Latest Brexodus... Citigroup (NYSE:C) is set to pick Frankfurt as its European Union base this week in preparation for when Britain leaves the bloc, according to numerous sources. It would be another shot in the arm for Germany's financial capital, with Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) and Nomura (NYSE:NMR) among the other firms to outline plans to establish or grow operations there.

PayPal is taking another step into the world of traditional retail banking, striking a deal with Visa (NYSE:V) that enables it to issue debit cards in Europe. The move is expected to appeal in particular to small businesses which carry balances in their PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) account for buying supplies, or for people who do not have a bank account but use PayPal.

As the head of the world's largest asset management firm sees things, ETFs will be playing an ever-increasing role in investor portfolios in ways that the financial world never saw coming. Whether it's getting a toehold in mortgages, developing new hedging strategies or "more utilization across the board in more products," BlackRock (NYSE:BLK) CEO Larry Fink believes growth of the funds could be in its early stages.

Monday's Key Earnings
BlackRock (BLK-3.1% after missing estimates.
Netflix (NFLX+10.7% AH boosting subscribers.

Today's Markets 
In Asia, Japan -0.6%. Hong Kong +0.2%. China +0.3%. India -1.1%.
In Europe, at midday, London -0.1%. Paris -0.6%. Frankfurt -0.8%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.1%. S&P flat. Nasdaq flat. Crude +0.8% to $46.38. Gold +0.3% to $1237.20.
Ten-year Treasury Yield flat at 2.3%

Today's Economic Calendar
8:30 Import/Export Prices
8:55 Redbook Chain Store Sales
10:00 NAHB Housing Market Index
4:00 PM Treasury International Capital

Known to most as Uranium Pinto Beans, Jason has more than 15 years under his belt of trading stocks, options and currencies. His expertise primarily lies in chart analysis, and he has a strong eye for undervalued stock. Because he’s got the ability to identify great risk/reward trades he usually enjoys taking the path less traveled and reaping the benefits from the adventure.

He is a co-founder of Option Millionaires, and he is best known for his weekly webinars with Scott, as well as his high level training webinars and charts found in the forums.

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