Thursday Morning Reads
- Britain’s Central Bank Is Expected to Raise Inflation Forecasts
- Biden Sets U.S. Goal
- Plan to End Private-Equity Tax Break
- Democrats See Chance to Reset Wall St.
- Risks in Crypto and Fintech
- Goldman Sachs Becomes S&P 500’s Biggest Bull
- The Mystery of the Missing Workers
- Robinhood Catches Its Own Meme Stock Spotlight
- Twitter Is Stuck With Itself, Too
- Yes, You’re Paying About 15% More To Move This Year.
Have you heard the latest joke on Wall Street? “Would investors buy Robinhood shares after a disastrous IPO? Yes, they Sherwood.”
Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ:HOOD) surged 50% yesterday, adding to a big rally the previous day. Shares are down 5% in premarket trading. The stock is now up more than 85% from where it opened on its first day of trading and more than 100% higher from where it closed that day when the IPO broke.
In a storyline worthy of Mary Shelley, the creator has become the target of its creation, although its doubtful insiders are complaining. HOOD is the most-mentioned stock on WallStreetBets, according to Quiver Quantitative. The rally is reminiscent of moves in GameStop (NYSE:GME) and AMC (NYSE:AMC), both of which are on losing streaks since HOOD came to market, leading to some speculation that retail investors are rotating cash from those names. But options experts say the trade in Robinhood stock is different from other meme rallies.
Puts outweighing calls: Like previous retail-driven rallies, the surge in HOOD has been supported by deep-out-of-the-money call buying. The biggest volume of any option was for $70 calls. But that doesn't necessarily mean a gamma squeeze is in effect, like the original GameStop move. Gamma squeezes occur as the writers, or sellers, of call options buy the underlying stock as a hedge, increasing demand for shares and pushing the price higher. While the $70 call was the most popular single option, bearish puts overall had more volume, Christopher Murphy, co-head of derivatives strategy as Susquehanna, said. The biggest plays were August 20 $30 and $20 puts, Murphy said. “All of it appears to be small lots, but that doesn’t necessarily mean it’s all retail,” he wrote, according to Barron's. “Because the options are so thin and the volatility is so high, it makes sense all the trading (whether institutional or retail) would be in small lots.” Another sign the rally may stall is that the 10-day moving average of call volume is on a downward trend, according to Bloomberg. And the 10-day average of shares traded on all exchanges is at its lowest level since November.
What next for the stock? Two big names have stepped to the sidelines after yesterday's big run-up in HOOD. Cathie Wood's ARK Investment Management was an early fan of Robinhood and bought on the dip as it went public and steadily increased holdings to more than 3M shares for three funds, including the flagship ARK Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA:ARKK). But ARK didn't accumulate any shares during yesterday's trading, according to its daily trading statement. Jim Cramer said the stock could be “bought here” on his “Mad Money” show Monday night. But he's advising locking in some gains.
“Meme stocks are easy money on the way up. But as we’ve seen with GameStop and AMC of late, you have to take profits while you still have them by selling gradually on the way up,” Cramer said last night. “It doesn’t matter how much you love (Robinhood), discipline always trumps conviction, and discipline says you need to take something off the table when you’ve got an 80% gain in two days.” What could separate Robinhood from GameStop, AMC and other WallStreetBets favorites is that it can be a proxy for retail trading for the broader market.
If funds believe that retail enthusiasm is here to stay, they will likely be bullish on HOOD and the potential for higher trading volumes. (4 comments)
Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) slid in extended-hours trading following the company posting second-quarter earnings where revenue easily beat consensus estimates, but active account growth fell short of analysts' expectations.
Revenue rose 81% overall to $645.1 million, with platform revenues more than doubling to $532.3 million from $244.8 million a year ago.
Platform gross profit rose 149% as well, to $345 million. Platform gross margin rose 820 basis points to 64.8%, and while player gross margin fell 1,350 basis points (to -5.9%), overall gross margin still rose 1,120 basis points to 52.4%. But active accounts grew just 28% to 55.1 million, against expectations that the company would have at least 55.8 million such accounts. Streaming hours in the quarter rose 19%, to 17.4 billion.
Roku has defined an active account as one that has streamed content in the last 30 days. That single account could also include streaming on multiple devices in a household and average revenue per user rose 46% to $36.46. (46 comments)
Sustainable investing is on the rise. But one category of investors remains on the sidelines: trustees of personal trusts. Learn how grantors, beneficiaries and trustees can bridge the gap between sustainable preferences and fiduciary duties. Learn More
Zoom Video Communications (NASDAQ:ZM) shares climbed almost 7% Wednesday as the company that has become synonymous with remote meetings and gatherings appeared to benefit from the possibility that many businesses will continue to push back plans for workers to return to the office.
As new cases of COVID continued to rise, along with talk of implementing indoor mask mandates in more areas around the United States, companies with ties to conventions, conferences and business and leisure travel, took hits during the day's stock market session. On Wednesday, the New York Auto Show was canceled, and brokerage Deutsche Bank said it would move a planned conference online.
Several leading tech companies such as Google (NASDAQ:GOOG), Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) have retreated on plans to have employees back in the office full-time in September and have postponed such plans until October. Some companies, such as Facebook and Google are making Covid vaccinations mandatory for their workers when they do return to company facilities. (10 comments)
Travel stocks were broadly lower again on anxiety that the full recovery timeline for leisure and business travel is getting pushed back due to COVID restrictions in hotspot areas.
Lodging and airline stocks finished broadly lower in Wednesday’s trading, but investors may be getting ahead of the data as the last tracking by BofA showed strong travel spending is still trending. (89 comments)
Popular grill maker Weber (WEBR) priced its IPO at $14 a share, below its expected range of $15-$17. The company also downsized its IPO, selling a little fewer than 18M shares, rather than the almost-47M it originally intended to sell.
Weber wrote in its S-1 last week that it expected to net some $712.5M from the IPO if the offering prices at a midpoint $16 a share. Weber disclosed the 69-year-old company is profitable, with revenues expanding at about a 10% compound annual growth rate since 1980. Shares are expected to begin trading today on the NYSE under the ticker "WEBR." (10 comments)
In Asia, Japan +0.5%. Hong Kong -0.8%. China -0.3%. India +0.5%.
In Europe, at midday, London +0.1%. Paris +0.6%. Frankfurt +0.2%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.2%. S&P +0.2%. Nasdaq +0.1%. Crude +0.8% at $71.85. Gold -0.1% at $1813.10. Bitcoin +1.9% to $38569.
Ten-year Treasury Yield +1 bps to 1.194%
Today's Economic Calendar
What else is happening...
Uber (NYSE:UBER) stock slides after Q2 driver costs offset ride-share recovery.
Lemonade (NYSE:LMND) stock falls 9% after Q2 loss matches estimate; no date on car insurance.
Fastly (NYSE:FSLY) stock plunges 19% after outage sinks forecasts.
Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock gains after Rosenblatt price target boost.
Fiverr International (NYSE:FVRR) EPS beats by $0.05, beats on revenue.
Etsy (NASDAQ:ETSY) slides after pandemic letdown quarter sees growth decelerate.
WarnerMedia's (NYSE:T) Zucker to stay put at least until Discovery (NASDAQ:DISCA) merger.
Petrobras (NYSE:PBR) pushes to big Q2 profit, approves early dividend payment.
Ethan Allen (NYSE:ETH) changes symbol to avoid Ethereum confusion.