Thursday Morning Reads

Thursday Morning Reads



Morning Charts:


The S&P 500 ended the session yesterday down 32.80 points, or 1.1%, snapping a 36-session streak in which the closing index didn't move more than 1% in either direction. The selloff was triggered by comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, which disappointed investors in his post-decision news conference when he didn’t more explicitly ratify expectations of additional stimulus in the months ahead. The "one and done" sentiment doesn't appear to be sticking as U.S. stock index futures inch up 0.2% this morning ahead of earnings from General Motors (NYSE:GM), DuPont (NYSE:DD) and Verizon (NYSE:VZ).

Trump responds

"Powell let us down," President Trump tweeted in response to the Fed's 25-basis point rate cut with little indication of which way the next move will be. "What the Market wanted to hear from Jay Powell and the Federal Reserve was that this was the beginning of a lengthy and aggressive rate-cutting cycle which would keep pace with China, the European Union and other countries around the world." U.S. crude also broke a five-day rally in the Fed aftermath, while the U.S. dollar climbed to levels not seen since May 2017.
Go deeper: 'The Fed Rate Cut Won't Help' writes Kirk Spano.

Volatile session for GE

Originally up 4% after posting earnings on Wednesday morning, General Electric (NYSE:GE) swung wildly during the session and ended the day slightly in the red. Traders initially sought comfort in better-than-expected Q2 earnings, as well as a 2019 guidance raise, but then seemed to focus on $1.4B in potential costs from Boeing's (NYSE:BA) grounded 737 MAX (GE makes Leap engines for the jetliner). Separately, CFO Jamie Miller said she will step down from her role but will remain with the company during the leadership transition.
Go deeper: How is GE graded on profitability amid its turnaround?

BOE decision after Fed cuts

Increased risk of a no-deal Brexit has investors on edge with a plummeting pound and lower bond yields, but the Bank of England today is still expected to hold interest rates at 0.75%, though it will likely cut growth forecasts. Meanwhile, Boris Johnson appears to have gone some way to securing the working majority he’ll need to pass a Brexit deal through Parliament despite little progress in dealings with both the European Union and Ireland.
Go deeper: Breakdown on sterling vs. its peers.

Another day, another survey

The private Caixin/Markit factory PMI came in 49.9 in July - slightly better than expected, but still in contractionary territory. On Wednesday, data from the Chinese statistics bureau showed that the official manufacturing PMI contracted for three straight months, recording a figure of 49.6 for the month of July. "Even though both the official and unofficial PMI surveys point to modest improvement for the Chinese manufacturing sector with downward pressure easing, headwinds still remain," said Julian Evans-Pritchard, senior China economist at Capital Economics.

Prison break

Sell-side analysts have stopped covering U.S. private prison operators as Wall Street distances itself from publicly traded GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) and CoreCivic (NYSE:CXW). The retreat follows a parade of major banks announcing they would no longer offer financing to private detention center operators amid a public uproar over immigrant detention policies of the Trump administration. In response, GEO CFO Brian Evans said the company was working with a number of smaller equity analyst shops and is in the early stage of developing relationships to get some coverage.
Go deeper: SA authors are Bearish on the stocks.

Final briefs in Oklahoma opioid lawsuit

Oklahoma's attorney general has made a final bid to force Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ) to pay $17B for its part in fueling the opioid epidemic, while J&J countered that its painkillers were a tiny fraction of all opioids prescribed in the state and said its marketing claims had scientific support. The briefs marked the final arguments both sides would make to Judge Thad Balkman, who is expected to rule next month. The Oklahoma case is being closely watched by plaintiffs in other opioid lawsuits, particularly in 1,900 cases pending before a federal judge in Ohio who has been pushing for a settlement ahead of an October trial.

Retail war for India market share

Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) is again setting its M&A sights on India, where it is engaged in a pitched battle with Walmart's (NYSE:WMT) Flipkart in what is viewed as one of their most important growth markets. According to the Economic Times, Amazon is in exploratory talks with Reliance Retail for buying up to 26% stake in India's biggest brick-and-mortar retailer. Talks began after Reliance's negotiations with Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) fell through due to differences over valuation.
Go deeper: See growth metrics of Amazon.

Future dominated by data

London Stock Exchange (OTCPK:LNSTY) has agreed to snap up market insights and trading platform Refinitiv in $27B deal with Blackstone (NYSE:BX) and Thomson Reuters (NYSE:TRI). LSE has seen double-digit growth in the last few years from its information services unit, driven by the FTSE Russell indexes business, and adding a data giant would help accelerate that push as markets become more reliant on data-hungry machines. It will also see an expansion into over-the-counter trading by taking on Refinitiv's FXall and matching platforms, complementing its existing OTC clearing businesses.

What else is happening...

Liberty Global (NASDAQ:LBTYA) closes €19B asset sale to Vodafone (NASDAQ:VOD).

PG&E (NYSE:PCGdenies report it deferred maintenance on equipment.

Electric vehicle and emissions costs hit profits at BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY).

Didi (DIDI), BP (NYSE:BPpartner on electric vehicle charging network.

Beyond Meat (NASDAQ:BYNDfalls 4.4% premarket as offering prices at $160/share.

Record low... Brazil's central bank cuts key rate to 6.0%.

DeepMind (GOOGGOOGL) can spot acute kidney disease 48 hours before doctors.

Align Technology (NASDAQ:ALGN) braces for SmileDirectClub IPO.

Wednesday's Key Earnings
Annaly Capital (NYSE:NLY-0.8% AH following an EPS miss.
Enterprise Products (NYSE:EPD+2.5% amid record pipeline volumes.
General Electric (GE-0.7% on costs related to grounded 737 MAX.
Fitbit (NYSE:FIT-14.1% AH cutting revenue guidance.
Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY+0.1% AH posting narrow Q2 beat.
Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM-5% AH giving downside outlook.
Southern Co. (NYSE:SO+1.7% on slipping industrial sales.
Vale (NYSE:VALE-1.7% AH disclosing fresh disaster-related writedowns.
Western Digital (NASDAQ:WDC+1.9% AH as execs saw signs of trough.

Today's Markets 
In Asia, Japan +0.1%. Hong Kong -0.8%. China -0.8%. India -1.2%.
In Europe, at midday, London +0.2%. Paris +0.7%. Frankfurt +0.4%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.2%. S&P +0.2%. Nasdaq +0.2%. Crude -1.3% to $57.81. Gold -1.4% to $1418.30. Bitcoin +2.1% to $9962.
Ten-year Treasury Yield +3 bps to 2.05%

Today's Economic Calendar
7:30 Challenger Job-Cut Report
8:30 Initial Jobless Claims
9:45 PMI Manufacturing Index
10:00 ISM Manufacturing Index
10:00 Construction Spending
10:30 EIA Natural Gas Inventory
4:30 PM Money Supply
4:30 PM Fed Balance Sheet

Known to most as Uranium Pinto Beans, Jason has more than 15 years under his belt of trading stocks, options and currencies. His expertise primarily lies in chart analysis, and he has a strong eye for undervalued stock. Because he’s got the ability to identify great risk/reward trades he usually enjoys taking the path less traveled and reaping the benefits from the adventure.

He is a co-founder of Option Millionaires, and he is best known for his weekly webinars with Scott, as well as his high level training webinars and charts found in the forums.

More Posts by UPB: View All | Private Twitter Feed: Access Now! (For Diamond Members)