Tag Archives: soda

12-24 Watchlist

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Today is a shortened trading session with the markets closed tomorrow for the holidays. I will be taking it very cautious and may not take any positions until wednesday due to premium erosion. You can still see the headlines out there making it seems like the fiscal cliff is devastating the futures, yet we are just slightly red.

 

Fiscal-cliff worries depress U.S. stock-index futures

 

 

Again, I think the market moved up a little to quick last week, and we are consolidating for the move to $150 on the SPY.

 

Here are some of the key analyst changes this morning:

 

(FB)

Facebook price target raised to $33 from $25 at Needham

Needham raised Facebook 2013 estimates to 65c/$6.5B from 59c/$6.27B based on strong mobile revenue growth, upside from its closed system global platform, and upside from new revenue streams. Shares are Buy rated.

 

(TRIP)

TripAdvisor price target raised to $51 from $38 at Needham

Needham raised its price target for TripAdvisor citing greater optimism about the company's long-term growth. The firm expects TripAdvisor to exceed consensus expectations in the first half of 2013 and keeps a Buy rating on the stock.

 

(JCP)

J.C. Penney more aggressive promotions positive, says Oppenheimer

After visiting two J.C. Penney stores over the weekend, Oppenheimer believes that the retailer's more aggressive price promotions will drive traffic, improve its cash generation, and boost the company's turnaround effort. The firm reports that store traffic remained solid and it maintains an Outperform rating.

 

Here are some nice articles this morning. I think WYNN could see a surge the next day or so, and will try for some $120 class to flip. Dont expect it to go over 120 but maybe break $115 finally. WIll not play SINA today but the article below may renew concerns over the China government intervening in censorship once again, limiting SINA long term.

 

Nice read for SINA : http://professional.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324660404578198872669335126.html?mg=reno64-wsj

 

WYNN signs deal for option to buy land in Mass : http://www.lvrj.com/business/wynn-signs-option-to-buy-land-for-massachusetts-casino-184476541.html

 

 

Limited watchlist this morning as I plan on being very strict on any plays today.

 

 

Stock Ticker Call/Put Strike Expiration
MON CALL $100.00 JAN
WYNN CALL $120.00 weekly
SODA CALL $50.00 Jan

 

 

I still love SODA here for over $50 sometime in January. I also continue to like Monsanto and will try for some $100 JAN calls sometime int he next few trading sessions.

 

I do want to wish everyone a Happy Holiday and Merry Christmas!

 

Lets have a great trading day today!!!

 

- JImmybob

12-4 Watchlist

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Yesterday sure was a gap and trap as the market faded most of the day, then tried to recoup some losses at the end, like it tends to do. Today the futures are flat and there is no economic news out. We do have some earnings with BIG and AZO. BIG beat and looks good PM, i know UPB was talking about it Sunday night in his week ahead as well as in chat. AZO is lower PM with good results, but a little off on revenue, expect a bounce there. I had SHLD on the watchlist yesterday as the stock has been destroyed last few weeks. Catching a bottom can be very hard, so hope yesterday was the start of a reversal. We alerted the SHLD $45 DEC wkly calls @ .32 as the stock was at $42, and it ramped over $1.60 in matter of 20 minutes. Those $45 calls hit .80. If  SHLD reverses, i think it can test 46-47 this week and those 45 calls will be 300-600%+. SODA continues to look good as well and I am still holding 42.50 DEC and 45 Jan calls. NFLX was a bust on the call side and I know many banked on the put side yesterday including RetiredMM, BullBear, Gambler and others.

Lets see what today brings. We have Pandora reporting after the bell, and I like her alot. We also have Vera Bradley reporting before the bell tomorrow. Will also look to play off LULU earnings, as it looks like more analysts are getting bullish into earnings... not that we listen to them!

 

Stock Ticker Call/Put Strike Expiration Closing Price Entry Price
SHLD CALL $45.00 DEC WKLY 0.34 0.34
VRA CALL $35.00 JAN 0.35 0.35
P CALL $11.00 DEC 0.30 0.30
LULU CALL $80.00 DEC WKLY 0.34 0.34
LULU CALL $85.00 DEC 0.22 0.22

 

PSA was also upgraded so that one is one watch, but havent traded it before so will wait and see.

Lets have a great trading day!

- jimmybob

12-3 Watchlist

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Welcome to December! Looks like we will start the morning in the green as futures are up. China had some more decent numbers overnight and the concerns of China's economy coming to a crashing halt seem to be fading. Christmas Elf Tim Geithner  was on the Sunday Morning talk shows trying to alleviate "Fiscal Cliff" fears. If you read the watchlist every morning you would know my thoughts, that we melt higher into the end of the year. I give it a few more days before we start hearing "Santa Rally" instead of fiscal cliff.

We have some big movers this morning on upgrades and news articles: DECK is trading over $42 PM on an upgrade, LULU is trading over $73 on an upgrade, DELL is up 4% on an upgrade as well. Others to watch are RIG and LMCA, which were covered in Barron's.

UPB had a great week ahead class last night, and the link for the video will be available sometime today. I know Biglots was his big play, as well as DMND.

My watchlist today is light, as i am a little fearful of a gap and trap. Please don't trade any text alert expecting the same results as last week.

 

Stock Ticker Call/Put Strike Expiration Closing Price Entry Price
SHLD CALL  $45.00 DEC WKLY 0.36 0.36
SHLD CALL  $49.00 DEC MONTHLY 0.42 0.40
NFLX CALL  $90.00 DEC WKLY 0.32 0.30
WYNN CALL $115.00 DEC WKLY 0.62 0.40
LNKD CALL  $115.00 DEC WKLY 0.20 0.15

I like SHLD for a bounce sometime this week, hopefully starting today so will try and grab some weeklies. Once i get weeklies will look for some monthlies. Of course you know NETFLIX is one of my favs still. I grabbed 87.50s on friday afternoon and will look to get some 90s today.

WYNN may move on Macau #'s out today, and I am waiting for LNKD to finally start to head towards $120. I dont like the bottom two as much an those are mostly on watch and will probably not get any today.

SODA looks great at the open today so hoping for more follow through.

 

Lets have a great trading day!!

- Jimmybob

SodaStream Call Volume

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Folks are becoming quite bullish on SodaStream as the call buying has been extremely active today. Over 7,500 calls have been purchased today versus only 300 puts. This includes a 2100 block of the Dec 42.50 calls. We are also very bullish on SodaStream and think a long awaited breakout is looming. We will have another write-up on SodaStream (SODA) tonight.

Here were some of the trades today, the 2k block is where the arrow is pointed.

 

11-29 Watchlist

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Another great day yesterday, as the market rallied off market lows and finished strong. Futures are solid green as I write this, even with some big #'s due out that include GDP and jobless claims. I said it in the chatroom yesterday that I tend to tune out the noise so I really dont pay much attention to those numbers. I think the recent market action points towards the $150 SPY target I have been talking about, and will stick to that until something changes.

We have sent ou a couple text alerts in the last few weeks since the service started, and looks like we have hit paydirt with GOOG. Here is what the text alert said:

GOOG looks to be turning and underperformed vs other techs. Could have a nice 5% move in th next 3 days meaning the 695 Wkl calls@.25 could be a nice 10 bagger

With GOOG near 690 here PM, those calls should be near $1.50-2 at open, they closed at 1.15. Figure they hit 2.50 today, that is a 10 bagger. This means you can trade 9 other option plays with the same capital, have them expire worthless, then buy these GOOG calls an recoup all your losses. Why we love options!

Some other great trades yesterday with GMCR, SODA, DECK, AAPL, ARO, GDX, and WYNN. There were many more and sorry if i left some out.

Still think the market holds its ground today and works its way towards $143+ on the SPY by close tomorrow. Anyone doubting what UPB or myself has been saying for months only needs to read this article in the WSJ where it spells out exactly what th fed has been doing since QE1... FORCING FOLKS into equities... : http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324784404578145541490348884.html

Will have more in a post i have been working on for the last 24 hours. OptionMillionaires mentioned on Marketwatch this morning : http://blogs.marketwatch.com/need-to-know/2012/11/29/6-gut-checks-before-the-open/

Also there is a class on friday at 2pm by Chris D: https://www.optionmillionaires.com/2012/diamond-members-webinar-on-thursday-yearly-and-cyclical-stock-seasonality/

Here is what I am looking to add today:

Stock Ticker Call/Put Strike Expiration Closing Price Entry Price
TRLG CALL $29.00 DEC 0.25 0.25
WYNN CALL $115.00 NOV WEKLY 0.15 0.15
NFLX CALL $85.00 NOV WKLY 0.39 0.35
SODA CALL $45.00 JAN 0.40 0.40

TRLG has some big interest so should see a move back over $30. Still like WYNN to touch and break $115. $NFLX is poised to make a move to $85+, and I love $SODA here for a continuation. Stay tuned to chat for more updates.

Lets have a great day!!

 

- jimmy