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5-16 Watchlist ANF, SINA, LNKD, NFLX

May 16, 2012 jimmybob Leave a comment

It is Mid-week, and my favorite time of the month is coming. Option Expiration! The last few weeks have been very challenging times trading options. Take a look at UPB’s video from last night: https://www.optionmillionaires.com/2012/upb-may-15th-market-recap-outlook-spy-aapl-fosl-sina-jcp-sp-futures/

 

He made some great points around trading options in this environment. Also, sometimes its better to sit on your hands then force a trade. There is ALWAYS money to be made in any type of market, but you have to make sure you have money to play it!

 

Looks like the market is ramping pre-market. USD up 12 straight trading sessions and is still Green as I write this. There is always a pullback, and one on the USD is overdue. We shall see.

Subscribers read on-->

aaplcallsEarningsLNKDnflxsina

SINA Corporation (SINA)

May 15, 2012 jimmybob 2 Comments

Sina Corporation (SINA) has been an Optionmillionaires favorite over the past few months.There is nothing that an option trader likes more than a volatile stock, and SINA Corporation (SINA) sure fits the bill. SINA Corporation (SINA) reported earnings after hours, and the stock rose nearly 7%. Folks were expecting a loss, which they got, but revenue was above expectations. With all the bad press as of late, it was almost a relief that SINA Corporation (SINA) expects to still generate revenues with the China censorship crackdown.

It's one of the reasons we think there will be some serious upside upgrades tomorrow. SINA Corporation (SINA) pulled in just over $100 mil in revenues for the past quarter, yet has over 300 million users of its twitter like service. If they are able to just pull in $.50-$1 per user, they will experience some SERIOUS growth. Smart "Growth Companies" sacrifice short term profits, for long term growth. Looks like Sina CEO Charles Chao is continuing to do that, which is great news in our opinion:

Sina CEO Charles Chao said: "China's macroeconomic weakness in the first quarter the Company's brand advertising business growth moderate. We expect the macroeconomic aspects of the resistance will continue until the second quarter, however, we have begun to test the water micro- Bo brand advertising business. this advertising product recommendation engine driven by the map-based social interest, is expected to be in the second half of the year for our brand advertising business real impact. the current the microblogging advertisers preliminary feedback is encouraging, we believe that to continue major investment is necessary for social media and related projects. "

 

Of course there are the folks looking at the news release tonight seeing this headline:

Sina Corp could see further losses due to Weibo: CEO

The market is forward looking, and think this view is very short sighted. With the penetration they have, in a market with few competitors, I think SINA has much more upside then folks are giving her.I guess we will see tomorrow. Here is what we were saying on our watchlist this morning and monday:

SINA – 60 calls before the close for me, think earnings will not be too good, but the outlook and china restrictions will be the key.

SINA – reports this week as well, with RENN. Hard to figure, but I still like SINA. Not sure of the strikes yet and may wait till Tuesday AM.

 

Happy Trading!!

 

Disclosure: we hold $57.50 and $60 MAY calls

BIDUcallsCramerEarningsFacebookmulti-baggerputssinaWatchlist

UPB May 15th Market Recap – Outlook – SPY AAPL FOSL SINA JCP S&P Futures

May 15, 2012 uranium-pinto-beans 1 Comment
UPB May 15th Market Recap – Outlook – SPY AAPL FOSL SINA JCP S&P Futures

UPB May 15th Market Recap - Outlook - SPY AAPL FOSL SINA JCP S&P Futures

 

 

 

 

FOSL Down 7%, Now In No Mans Land

May 15, 2012 uranium-pinto-beans 2 Comments
FOSL Down 7%, Now In No Mans Land

 

FOSL fell from its earnings report to a multi-year support line.  Each time it hit that support line in the past the stock rose $20 or more.  Today that support was broken and as I said in my video and recent blog post, if it breaks that support line "run for the hills".   It looks like I wasn't the only one thinking that as the stock tumbled 7% today after breaching that support line and, in my view, sits in no mans land.     I think FOSL could be headed back to $40-45 a share, but it currently is so oversold that I wouldn't take a chance on the short term puts.   The support line was our friend and now its gone.  Time to move on.

UPB Market Update Video May 14th 2012 – AAPL SPY FOSL

May 14, 2012 uranium-pinto-beans 4 Comments
UPB Market Update Video May 14th 2012 – AAPL SPY FOSL

 

UPB Market Update Video May 14th 2012 - AAPL SPY FOSL

 


UPB 5-14-12 Market Update from OptionMillionaires on Vimeo.

aaplFOSLspyTrade Tip

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