Friday Morning Reads

Friday Morning Reads

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Today's jobs report is one of the more important ones for investors, as it will not only address recession fears but will signal upcoming policy cues for the Fed. Economists have forecast nonfarm payrolls to bounce back by 175,000 in March, after a shockingly low 20,000 last month, meaning February was just a sputter during a long stretch of job gains. Hopes for a solid number were boosted by jobless claims data, which fell to a 49-year low last week. Also being eyed are average hourly wages, which likely rose 0.3%, and an unemployment rate that's expected to hold steady at 3.8%.

Trade progress pushes futures higher

U.S. stock index futures are ahead by 0.2%, while Shanghai closed up 0.9%overnight, as investors cheered developments in U.S.-China trade talks. On Thursday, President Trump said that swift progress had been made, adding "we'll know over the next four weeks" whether a deal can be reached. Chinese Vice Premier Liu He, meanwhile, said a new consensus had been reached by both countries on the text of a trade agreement, according to official state news agency Xinhua.

Border open for now but tariffs loom

Backing away from a threat to immediately shut the southern border, President Trump instead outlined a 25% tariff on cars as a possible tool he could use to force Mexico to halt illegal immigration and drugs. "We're going to give them a one-year warning," he told reporters. Asked if his comments suggested the border will remain open for at least a year, Trump responded: "No, I didn't say that... We would start with the tariffs and we'll see what happens."

Boeing admits MCAS played role in 737 Max crashes

"With the release of the preliminary report of the Ethiopian Airlines flight 302 accident investigation it’s apparent that in both flights the Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System, known as MCAS, activated in response to erroneous angle of attack information," Boeing (NYSE:BA) CEO Dennis Muilenburg said in a statement. However, an update will "add additional layers of protection and will prevent erroneous data from causing MCAS activation. Flight crews will always have the ability to override MCAS and manually control the airplane."

U.K. asks for short Brexit delay; EU suggests longer one

A flurry of Brexit news is in the making as both the EU and the U.K. move to lengthen the current timetable for negotiations. First, European Council President Donald Tusk proposed allowing the U.K. a 12-month "flexible" extension to leave the EU, according to the BBC. Later this morning, U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May asked the EU for another short extension to June 30, which could be terminated early if a deal is agreed to by the two sides.

Samsung earnings are going to be ugly

Weighed down by fading memory chip demand and rising smartphone competition, Samsung Electronics (OTC:SSNLF) expects to post a 60% decline in Q1 operating profit. A figure of 6.2T South Korean won ($5.5B) would put it on track for its weakest quarterly profit since late 2016, when the firm issued a costly global recall of Galaxy Note 7 handsets that overheated. Samsung reports final results later this month.

Jeff Bezos keeps control of Amazon in divorce settlement

Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) CEO Jeff Bezos will retain voting control of his entire $143B stake in the company under a divorce settlement with his wife, MacKenzie Bezos, who will own 25% of those shares. That's unless she donates them to a nonprofit or sells them in the open market. Jeff Bezos is seen as essential to Amazon's meteoric growth and stock price rise since he founded the company as an online bookseller in 1994.

Snap dives into mobile gaming space

Snap (NYSE:SNAP) announced a new ad-supported gaming platform at its Partner Summit on Thursday, following recent moves into the market by other tech companies. However, the company's business model - called Snap Games - stands in contrast to Apple's (NASDAQ:AAPL), which will be based on a subscription. Players will be able to jump into games directly from Snapchat, and the offering will include monetization opportunities for Snap and its partners.

Judge punts ruling on Musk vs. SEC

It was an anti-climactic end in a Manhattan courtroom where Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO Elon Musk faced off again with the SEC over his tweeting and contempt of court charges. "My call to action is for everyone to take a deep breath, put your reasonableness pants on and work this out," Judge Nathan told both parties, instructing them to come back in two weeks with a resolution. The hearing appeared to lift an overhang over Tesla, as the SEC stopped well short of recommending Musk's removal as CEO or even from the EV maker's board.

Ghosn behind bars for at least 10 days

Carlos Ghosn will be held in jail until at least April 14 without possibility of bail, according to a Tokyo court. Prosecutors re-arrested the former Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY) and Renault (OTCPK:RNLSY) boss yesterday on suspicion he had tried to enrich himself to the tune of $5M at Nissan's expense. Ghosn's lawyer is appealing the decision, though it might be tougher to be granted bail a second time and may come with even more stringent conditions.

What else is happening...

'Jobless Claims: What Highs?' writes contributor Bespoke Investment Group.

ECB will ask Deutsche Bank (NYSE:DB) to raise fresh funds for Commerzbank (OTCPK:CRZBY) merger.

Reports suggest Amazon (AMZN) is making an Apple (AAPL) AirPods competitor.

Google (GOOGGOOGL) pulls the plug on its AI ethics board.

Lockheed (NYSE:LMT) and Raytheon (NYSE:RTN) prep for F-35 production changes due to U.S.-Turkey rift.

After years of closures, Sears (OTCPK:SHLDQ) is opening smaller stores.

Target (NYSE:TGT) ups minimum wage to $13, further topping Walmart's (NYSE:WMT) $11.

Saudis threaten to ditch dollar oil trades to stop 'NOPEC.'

The recent share price selloff may represent an attractive entry point for Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), says contributor Kevin Carter.

Thursday's Key Earnings
Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ+6.5% on strong depletion performance.

Today's Markets 
In Asia, Japan +0.4%. Hong Kong -0.2%. China +0.9%. India +0.5%.
In Europe, at midday, London +0.2%. Paris +0.2%. Frankfurt -0.1%.
Futures at 6:20, Dow +0.2%. S&P +0.2%. Nasdaq +0.2%. Crude flat at $62.09. Gold steady at $1294.10. Bitcoin -0.6% to $4959.
Ten-year Treasury Yield +2 bps to 2.53

Today's Economic Calendar
8:30 Non-farm payrolls
1:00 PM Baker-Hughes Rig Count
3:00 PM Consumer Credit
3:30 PM Fed's Bostic: “Disruption and Opportunity: Shaping Policy in a Digital World”

Known to most as Uranium Pinto Beans, Jason has more than 15 years under his belt of trading stocks, options and currencies. His expertise primarily lies in chart analysis, and he has a strong eye for undervalued stock. Because he’s got the ability to identify great risk/reward trades he usually enjoys taking the path less traveled and reaping the benefits from the adventure.

He is a co-founder of Option Millionaires, and he is best known for his weekly webinars with Scott, as well as his high level training webinars and charts found in the forums.

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