For Bronze Members and Above

$HLF Ackman’s 284 Questions and the Girl Scouts

The $HLF story continues with Hedge Fund manager Bill Ackman asking Herbalife another host of questions, 284 in all,  relating to its  "business".   I can only imagine what it must have been like to be this guys teacher in middle school. (I have added the document below)


In my opinion $HLF remains a great option trade, and while it will have its bursts to the upside, the stock still is trending lower, no matter how many hedge funds and investor personalities decide the stock should be higher.  It seems someone pops their head out every week to try and squeeze the shorts out of $HLF and yet it continues to decline in price.



Considering the company is buying back $1 billion in stock, Carl Icahn is trying to institute a 'mother of all short squeezes', and numerous hedge funds, analysts, have come out saying the stock is undervalued and has great upside potential,  I am rather curious why this stock hasn't rocketed over$50 yet?   Ackman already has his 20 million short, I doubt he's shorting any more shares, the question remains with such bullish chatter, who is selling?


One of the highlights of Ackmans 284 questions is when he states that CEO Michael Johnson compared Herbalifes business model to the Girl Scouts and asked the following questions:

When Girl Scouts sell cookies, do eleven levels of “upline” Girl Scouts receive sales commissions?

Do the top 1% of Girl Scouts receive 88% of the award badges?
How many former Girl Scouts have sued the Girl Scouts’ organization and accused itof running a pyramid scheme?
How many foreign regulators have declared the Girl Scouts a pyramid scheme?
How many Girl Scouts have lost tens of thousands of dollars selling cookies?
How many Girl Scouts run side businesses selling names and contact information for other Girl Scouts for $130 per lead?
These questions and 276 more can be found below:

Questions for Herbalife from Bill Ackman by

Live: The Week Ahead Super Sunday February 3rd at 10:30PM

After the Superbowl we'll be hosting a live webinar "The Week Ahead" covering the market, earnings, news, and events. Join us live at 10:30PM Sunday night at 10:30pm or watch the webinar later in our archived video library.

We have some usually volatile earnings reports including CMG, CSTR, LNKD, EXPE, OPEN, and BIDU which should make for an interesting week. It was only two weeks ago we saw NFLX calls go ballistic with the $125 strike that was on the morning watchlist go from $.12 to over $40. Can we see that again?

The link for the webinar can be found here:

Negative 4th Qtr GDP……. Who Cares!

If you've learned anything since the Financial Crisis and the March 2009 666 lows, its that bad economic data means very little to the over all market. Just minutes ago U.S. GDP for the 4th Quarter was announced as contracting by .1%, well below expectations of 1%, the worst reading since 2009. This is bad news right? Stock futures initially pulled back from their highs but are now inching higher. Since the market crumbled to its lows in 2009, we've had the heads bears lose tails bulls win stock market (credit Jimmybob with that line). Bad data is shrugged off and good data is cheered because we have a global easing scheme that is focused on inflating asset prices. The old adage "don't fight the FED" is more relevant today than ever before. I wouldn't advise fighting the "ECB, BOJ, BOE" either. Just look at Japan. Three months after they began openly talking up a massive weakening of their currency the Nikkei 225 has gained 23%. That is some train to be standing in front of.

How about the ECB? In the middle of July ECB President Mario Draghi stated, among other things that the "ECB Ready To Do Whatever It Takes To Preserve Euro" and "Has Power To Defeat Market Speculation". The EUR/USD has risen from $1.20 to almost $1.36, a 1575+ pip move as the ECB seemingly has beaten up all speculating for a Euro zone collapse. When a central bank is hell bent on doing something be sure to hop along for the ride.

Negative GDP? Anemic growth? Growing National Debt? A government that needs to print money to pay its bills? It all means nothing right now.

While markets around the world continue their ascent higher and globally, central banks are busy artificially propping asset prices, now is not the time to be fighting the trend. But be sure of one thing, when the music finally does stop all the jaw boning and fake money will have little affect on the markets and economic data will again be meaningless as we get a global asset sell-off.

U.S. stock futures tallied mild losses Wednesday after the Commerce Department reported the U.S. economy unexpectedly shrank in the fourth quarter.
"While most believed that the economy slowed considerably in the closing months of last year, few anticipated that the economy actually contracted," said Jim Baird , chief investment strategist for Plante Moran Financial Advisors .
"With consumer spending set to take a hit in the months ahead as households adjust to higher taxes and lower discretionary income, the near-term outlook becomes even more difficult," Baird added in comments made after the government data, which found gross domestic product fell at a 0.1% annual rate, the worst performance since the second quarter of 2009, when the U.S. economy remained in a recession.

$HLF Herba…slow Death

$HLF has been one of the most talked about stock recently. I think it will suffer a slow death over the coming months. With so much attention on this stock, and volatility, there is no reason to be holding a position in it. I currently hold no position in $HLF but will buy out of the money puts to Capitalize on the stocks decline and slow death.