For the past few months, the Energy ETF (XLE) has been in a corrective stage. It has severely underperformed the market and is currently 9% off its high. In my opinion, there are many reasons for XLE to bounce.
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All posts by Max Ganik
Market Update $SPY $QQQ $NYMO
There seems to be a strong potential for the market heading to the 50DMA sometime this month. Yet, in the grand scheme of things I still remain bullish. If you look back at a longer-term chart, the month of September has just been a consolidation month, where we see some of the excess removed from the market. The daily chart is seems to indicate be a prolonged bull flag from the SPY rally in August. There are many stocks that have been sold, mainly the high beta stocks, to allocate for Alibaba. But, many hedge funds did not end up getting a big stake in Alibaba. In my opinion, this means that the money will come back to work soon; it will come back to the tech sector.
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Hedge Your $AAPL Long Position
With the upcoming AAPL event, the one thing that is almost certain is that AAPL should have a big move following the event. If the event blows people away, expect shares to break out and have a strong year-end rally. But if the event is as expected or does not offer investors anything exciting, expect shares to sell off, down to previous support levels. The question is, how do you hedge your AAPL position before the event?
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Is Low Volume KEY to the Market Rally?
Much has been said about the decreasing market volume, and how seemingly every rally has a lack of participation. This view has been used to argue a bearish point of view on the market, however, I will use that view to argue a bullish point of view. The reason the volume is so low is because of a lack of conviction. Since there has not been a correction in over 3 years, investors are too nervous to put money to work. This is either because they think the market is overbought, or that the current fundamentals do not warrant the current S&P 500 valuation.
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Is There Excessive Bullishness on $AAPL?
The quick answer is no. But let’s break down the reasons this is so. The most common phrase now being used in conjunction with the upcoming September 9th AAPL event is “Buy the rumor, sell the news.” This has typically been the case for most AAPL events. But the question is whether this is too obvious a strategy.
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